Oregon vs Washington State 9/29/2012

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 94% of simulations over Washington State. Marcus Mariota is averaging 228 passing yards and 2.6 TDs per simulation and Kenjon Barner is projected for 93 rushing yards and a 79% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 6% of simulations where Washington State wins, Jeff Tuel averages 2.34 TD passes vs 0.92 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 1.11 interceptions. Carl Winston averages 39 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing TDs when Washington State wins and 37 yards and 0.1 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WASST +28

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